Michael Gates · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Gates is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Gates at 4¢ against Bonta's 97¢, down 4¢ since September 8. Bonta leads 1.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Gates · Republican contract

4.0¢

▼ 4.0¢since September 8

Sep 829 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 4¢Oct 12

Michael GatesRepublican

4.0¢

Rob BontaDemocratic · incumbent

97.0¢

10,105 traded · 6,143 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gates v Bonta

Metric by metric

Gates

Bonta

4.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.0¢

$1.76M

RaisedState filings, through September 19

$3.36M

$336.4K

Cash on handState filings, through September 19

$6.34M

No office on file

Holds now

Attorney General of California

The 2026 race

California Attorney General

Prior result

D+18.2

2022 general election, won by Rob Bonta.

Fundraising

1.9 to 1

Raised, through September 19.