Rob Bonta · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Bonta is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Bonta at 97¢ against Gates's 4¢, down 1¢ since September 8. Bonta leads 1.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bonta · Democratic contract

97.0¢

▼ 1.0¢since September 8

Sep 829 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 95¢Oct 12

Rob BontaDemocratic · incumbent

97.0¢

Michael GatesRepublican

4.0¢

10,105 traded · 6,143 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bonta v Gates

Metric by metric

Bonta

Gates

97.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.0¢

$3.36M

RaisedState filings, through September 19

$1.76M

$6.34M

Cash on handState filings, through September 19

$336.4K

Attorney General of California

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California Attorney General

Prior result

D+18.2

2022 general election, won by Rob Bonta.

Fundraising

1.9 to 1

Raised, through September 19.