Justin Murphy · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Murphy is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Murphy at 3.3¢ against Booker's 97.8¢, down 1.6¢ since July 31. Booker leads 690.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Murphy · Republican contract

3.3¢

▼ 1.6¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Justin Murphy by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 4.9¢ · low 1.3¢Oct 12

Justin MurphyRepublican

3.3¢

Cory A. BookerDemocratic · incumbent

97.8¢

79,134 traded · 54,022 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Murphy v Booker

Metric by metric

Murphy

Booker

3.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.8¢

$27.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$18.87M

$123

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$23.06M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Senatorsince 2013

The 2026 race

New Jersey U.S. Senate

Prior result

D+16.3

2020 general election, won by Cory A. Booker.

Fundraising

690.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.