Elections Intelligence

Lisa Kinney

WY-ALU.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Kinney is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Kinney at 2.1¢ against Gray's 99.7¢, up 0.6¢ since August 3. Gray leads 90.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Kinney · Democratic contract
2.1¢
▲ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lisa Kinney by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4.6¢ · low 1.2¢Oct 12
Lisa KinneyDemocratic
2.1¢
Chuck GrayRepublican
99.7¢

7,865 traded · 3,619 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kinney v Gray

Metric by metric
Kinney
Gray
2.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.7¢
$17.9K
RaisedFEC, through July 29
$1.62M
$2.0K
Cash on handFEC, through July 29
$240.1K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Wyoming At-Large District
Prior result
R+47.4

2024 general election, won by Harriet M. Hageman.

Fundraising
90.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.