Elections Intelligence

Riley M. Moore

WV-2U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Moore is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Moore at 97.8¢ against Parsi's 4.7¢, up 1.8¢ since August 3. Moore leads 9.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Moore · Republican contract
97.8¢
▲ 1.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Riley M. Moore by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.1¢ · low 96¢Oct 12
Riley M. MooreRepublican · incumbent
97.8¢
Ace ParsiDemocratic
4.7¢

2,968 traded · 1,806 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Moore v Parsi

Metric by metric
Moore
Parsi
97.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.7¢
$1.33M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$134.2K
$751.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$43.7K
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

West Virginia 2nd District
Prior result
R+41.5

2024 general election, won by Riley M. Moore.

Fundraising
9.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.