James R. Walkinshaw · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Walkinshaw is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Walkinshaw at 98.4¢ against Purves's 3.6¢, down 0.1¢ since August 3. Walkinshaw leads 536.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Walkinshaw · Democratic contract

98.4¢

▼ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on James R. Walkinshaw by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98.4¢Oct 12

James R. WalkinshawDemocratic · incumbent

98.4¢

Arthur G. PurvesRepublican

3.6¢

4,309 traded · 1,517 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Walkinshaw v Purves

Metric by metric

Walkinshaw

Purves

98.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.6¢

$2.76M

RaisedFEC, through July 15 and August 27

$5.1K

$979.2K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15 and August 27

$0

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Virginia 11th District

Prior result

D+33.8

2024 general election, won by Gerald E. Connolly.

Fundraising

536.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 27.