Craig A. Goldman

TX-12

INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Goldman is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Goldman at 96.2¢ against Prilliman's 4.6¢, up 4.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Goldman · Republican contract

96.2¢

▲ 4.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Craig A. Goldman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.4¢ · low 91.8¢Oct 12

Craig A. GoldmanRepublican · incumbent

96.2¢

Angela Rodriguez PrillimanDemocratic

4.6¢

6,865 traded · 3,616 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Goldman v Prilliman

Metric by metric

Goldman

Prilliman

96.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.6¢

$1.76M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Angela Rodriguez Prilliman: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$1.51M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 12th District

Prior result

R+26.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Craig A. Goldman.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+22.6 → R+23.9

Texas redrew its congressional map in the middle of the decade through HB 4, which Gov. Greg Abbott signed on Aug. 29, 2025. A federal court blocked the map, but the U.S. Supreme Court put that ruling on hold in December 2025 and reversed it in April 2026, so the new lines are in place for 2026. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +22.6 to Trump +23.9 in the 2024 presidential vote).

The record this is read from ↗