Elections Intelligence

Emilia Strong Sykes

OH-13U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Sykes is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Sykes at 96.9¢ against Coleman's 2.3¢, up 6¢ since August 3. Sykes leads 24.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Sykes · Democratic contract
96.9¢
▲ 6.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Emilia Strong Sykes by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.6¢ · low 90.9¢Oct 12
Emilia Strong SykesDemocratic · incumbent
96.9¢
Carey ColemanRepublican
2.3¢

12,381 traded · 5,434 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Sykes v Coleman

Metric by metric
Sykes
Coleman
96.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.3¢
$3.14M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$127.1K
$1.90M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$77.7K
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 13th District
Prior result
D+2.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Emilia Strong Sykes.

Fundraising
24.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNEven → D+3.3

Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. It goes from an essentially even split to Harris +3.3 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.