Elections Intelligence

Kenneth R. Casner

WYGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Casner is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Casner at 3.1¢ against Barlow's 97.3¢, unchanged since July 31.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Casner · Democratic contract
3.1¢
Unchangedsince July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kenneth R. Casner by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 5.9¢ · low 3.1¢Oct 12
Kenneth R. CasnerDemocratic
3.1¢
Eric BarlowRepublican
97.3¢

5,521 traded · 4,901 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Casner v Barlow

Metric by metric
Casner
Barlow
3.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.3¢
$0
Cash on handState filings, through August 18
$160.1K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Wyoming Governor
Latest poll
Barlow +23

Pulse Dec. Science, Barlow sponsor, July 20.

Prior result
R+58.3

2022 general election, won by Mark Gordon.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.