Every candidate on the November ballot is a Democrat, so the seat cannot change party. The FTP Race Signal reads the seat; the Kalshi figure is Wahab's own contract.
Safe D
Aisha Wahab is the sitting U.S. Representative for California's 14th district and is defending it, a seat the band rates Safe D. The market prices their contract at 79.0¢ against Hernandez's 23.0¢, down 11.0¢ across 25 observation days; and they are outraised 2.4:1 by Melissa Hernandez.
79.0¢
▼ 11.0¢
since Aug 3
DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 46,027 traded · 19,950 open
Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET
79.0¢
23.0¢
$632K
2.4:1 Melissa Hernandez's advantage
$1.53M
U.S. Representative
California's 14th district · since 2026 · defending it
Holds no office
Open-seat candidate