Elections Intelligence

Steve Womack

AR-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Womack is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Womack at 97.7¢ against Ryerse's 5.1¢, up 2.2¢ since August 3. Womack leads 15.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Womack · Republican contract
97.7¢
▲ 2.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Steve Womack by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 94.6¢Oct 12
Steve WomackRepublican · incumbent
97.7¢
Robb RyerseDemocratic
5.1¢

8,593 traded · 4,369 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Womack v Ryerse

Metric by metric
Womack
Ryerse
97.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.1¢
$1.87M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$120.5K
$2.40M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$6.0K
U.S. Representativesince 2011
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Arkansas 3rd District
Prior result
R+32.0

2024 general election, won by Steve Womack.

Fundraising
15.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.