Elections Intelligence

Matt Van Epps

TN-7U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Epps is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Epps at 97.4¢ against Copeland's 4¢, up 4.5¢ since August 3. Epps leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Epps · Republican contract
97.4¢
▲ 4.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Matt Van Epps by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 92.7¢Oct 12
Matt Van EppsRepublican · incumbent
97.4¢
Darden CopelandDemocratic
4.0¢

6,370 traded · 4,416 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Epps v Copeland

Metric by metric
Epps
Copeland
97.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.0¢
$2.30M
RaisedFEC, through July 17
$868.6K
$208.0K
Cash on handFEC, through July 17
$78.7K
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Tennessee 7th District
Prior result
R+21.5

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mark E. Green.

Fundraising
2.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+22.3 → R+22.4

Tennessee redrew its congressional map in the middle of the decade through HB 7003, signed on May 7, 2026. The plan splits Shelby County, home to Memphis, among the 5th, 8th and 9th districts. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +22.3 to Trump +22.4 in the 2024 presidential vote).

The record this is read from ↗

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.