Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Juan Vargas

Democratic · U.S. Representative, California 52nd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 97.5¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 52ND DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTJeff Belle (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 97.5¢ · R 5.1¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+32.622024 general election margin — verified against official results
22:1fundraising ratio v Belle · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$568.5Kraised
$163.7Kcash on hand
VARGAS FOR CONGRESS ↗
· Belle: $25.5K / $1.4K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V BELLE ⇄