Lori Trahan · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Trahan is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Trahan at 99¢ against Grossi's 4.7¢, up 1.5¢ since August 3. Trahan leads 230.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Trahan · Democratic contract

99.0¢

▲ 1.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lori Trahan by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 95.9¢Oct 12

Lori TrahanDemocratic · incumbent

99.0¢

Gary J. GrossiRepublican

4.7¢

1,988 traded · 1,295 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Trahan v Grossi

Metric by metric

Trahan

Grossi

99.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.7¢

$1.64M

RaisedFEC, through August 12

$7.1K

$1.77M

Cash on handFEC, through August 12

$5.8K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Massachusetts 3rd District

Prior result

D+97.5

2024 general election, won by Lori Trahan.

Fundraising

230.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 12.