William R. Timmons IV · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Timmons is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Timmons at 97.9¢ against McClain's 3.9¢, up 4.5¢ since August 3. Timmons leads 48.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Timmons · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 4.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on William R. Timmons IV by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 93.4¢Oct 12

William R. Timmons IVRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

Courtney McClainDemocratic

3.9¢

6,895 traded · 5,013 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Timmons v McClain

Metric by metric

Timmons

McClain

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.9¢

$1.60M

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$33.0K

$77.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$1.2K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

South Carolina 4th District

Prior result

R+22.5

2024 general election, won by William R. Timmons IV.

Fundraising

48.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.