Elections Intelligence

Bennie G. Thompson

MS-2U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely D to Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Thompson is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Thompson at 98¢ against Eller's 3.8¢, up 5.1¢ since August 3. Thompson leads 16.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Thompson · Democratic contract
98.0¢
▲ 5.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bennie G. Thompson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.4¢ · low 92.9¢Oct 12
Bennie G. ThompsonDemocratic · incumbent
98.0¢
Ron EllerRepublican
3.8¢

38,312 traded · 12,233 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Thompson v Eller

Metric by metric
Thompson
Eller
98.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.8¢
$771.0K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$45.4K
$1.45M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$35.9K
U.S. Representativesince 1993
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Mississippi 2nd District
Prior result
D+24.0

2024 general election, won by Bennie G. Thompson.

Fundraising
16.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.