Elections Intelligence

Andrea Salinas

OR-6U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Salinas is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Salinas at 98.3¢ against Russ's 3¢, up 1.3¢ since August 3. Salinas leads 126.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Salinas · Democratic contract
98.3¢
▲ 1.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Andrea Salinas by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.4¢ · low 96.6¢Oct 12
Andrea SalinasDemocratic · incumbent
98.3¢
David RussRepublican
3.0¢

40,678 traded · 5,265 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Salinas v Russ

Metric by metric
Salinas
Russ
98.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.0¢
$1.61M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$12.8K
$611.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.9K
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Oregon 6th District
Prior result
D+6.8

2024 general election, won by Andrea Salinas.

Fundraising
126.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.