Greg Stanton · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Stanton is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Stanton at 97.5¢ against Jasser's 3.9¢, up 5.9¢ since August 3. Stanton leads 3.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Stanton · Democratic contract

97.5¢

▲ 5.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Greg Stanton by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.6¢ · low 91.6¢Oct 12

Greg StantonDemocratic · incumbent

97.5¢

Zuhdi JasserRepublican

3.9¢

11,082 traded · 5,713 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Stanton v Jasser

Metric by metric

Stanton

Jasser

97.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.9¢

$2.12M

RaisedFEC, through July 1

$564.6K

$2.02M

Cash on handFEC, through July 1

$341.7K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Arizona 4th District

Prior result

D+5.4

2024 general election, won by Greg Stanton.

Fundraising

3.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.