Mary Gay Scanlon · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Scanlon is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Scanlon at 98.5¢ against Manganaro's 2.6¢, up 5.3¢ since August 3. Scanlon leads 106.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Scanlon · Democratic contract

98.5¢

▲ 5.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Mary Gay Scanlon by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 93.2¢Oct 12

Mary Gay ScanlonDemocratic · incumbent

98.5¢

Nick ManganaroRepublican

2.6¢

1,899 traded · 1,419 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Scanlon v Manganaro

Metric by metric

Scanlon

Manganaro

98.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.6¢

$990.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$9.3K

$448.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$5.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2018

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 5th District

Prior result

D+30.6

2024 general election, won by Mary Gay Scanlon.

Fundraising

106.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.