Safe D
Linda T. Sánchez is a sitting U.S. Representative for California's 38th district, running in California's 41st district, a seat the band rates Safe D. California's 38th, which they hold, was redrawn 3.8 points toward the Republicans; the market prices their contract at 96.4¢ against Clemmons' 7.5¢, up 2.8¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 938 dollars for every one of Clemmons'.
96.4¢
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Linda T. Sánchez by name.
▲ 2.8¢
since Aug 3
Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 9,878 traded · 4,110 open
Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET
96.4¢
7.5¢
$1.60M
938:1 against Mitch Clemmons
$2K
U.S. Representative
California's 38th district · since 2025 · a different seat from the one they are running in
Holds no office
Challenger
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWN D+16.1 → D+12.3
The Legislature enacted the congressional map in AB 604, chaptered 21 August 2025 as Chapter 96, Statutes of 2025, and voters authorized its use through ACA 8, Proposition 50, on 4 November 2025; it applies to the 2026, 2028 and 2030 congressional elections.