Christopher H. Smith
NJ-4What the Signal reads
Safe R
Smith is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Smith at 97.9¢ against Peace's 6.8¢, up 2.5¢ since August 3. Smith leads 17.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Smith · Republican contract
97.9¢
▲ 2.5¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Christopher H. Smith by name.
3,742 traded · 2,126 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Smith v Peace
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New Jersey 4th DistrictPrior result
R+34.8
2024 general election, won by Christopher H. Smith.
Fundraising
17.2 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.