Elections Intelligence

Guy Reschenthaler

PA-14U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Reschenthaler is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Reschenthaler at 97.8¢ against Bradstock's 4.3¢, up 2.3¢ since August 3. Reschenthaler leads 20.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Reschenthaler · Republican contract
97.8¢
▲ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Guy Reschenthaler by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 95.3¢Oct 12
Guy ReschenthalerRepublican · incumbent
97.8¢
Alan BradstockDemocratic
4.3¢

2,166 traded · 1,515 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Reschenthaler v Bradstock

Metric by metric
Reschenthaler
Bradstock
97.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.3¢
$4.21M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$201.4K
$990.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$34.7K
U.S. Representativesince 2019
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 14th District
Prior result
R+33.2

2024 general election, won by Guy Reschenthaler.

Fundraising
20.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.