Jamie Raskin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Raskin is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Raskin at 98.2¢ against Riley's 3¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3. Raskin leads 447.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Raskin · Democratic contract

98.2¢

▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jamie Raskin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96.8¢Oct 12

Jamie RaskinDemocratic · incumbent

98.2¢

Cheryl RileyRepublican

3.0¢

426 traded · 412 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Raskin v Riley

Metric by metric

Raskin

Riley

98.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.0¢

$7.43M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$16.6K

$7.89M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.8K

U.S. Representativesince 2017

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Maryland 8th District

Prior result

D+56.3

2024 general election, won by Jamie Raskin.

Fundraising

447.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.