Elections Intelligence

Jack Reed

RIU.S. Senate S architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Reed is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Reed at 98.7¢ against McKay's 2.3¢, up 3.7¢ since July 31. The polling average has Reed ahead by 20 points, and Reed leads 18.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Reed · Democratic contract
98.7¢
▲ 3.7¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jack Reed by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 99.5¢ · low 95¢Oct 12
Jack ReedDemocratic · incumbent
98.7¢
Raymond McKayRepublican
2.3¢

24,970 traded · 13,174 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Reed v McKay

Metric by metric
Reed
McKay
98.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.3¢
$3.38M
RaisedFEC, through August 20
$180.5K
$3.09M
Cash on handFEC, through August 20
$7.6K
53%
Latest pollUNH · Sep 21
33%
U.S. Senatorsince 1997
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Rhode Island U.S. Senate
Latest poll
D+20

UNH, September 21.

Prior result
D+33.1

2020 general election, won by Jack Reed.

Fundraising
18.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 20.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.