Elections Intelligence

Nellie Pou

NJ-9U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely D to Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pou is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pou at 96.9¢ against Pino's 3.5¢, up 5.3¢ since August 3. Pou leads 6.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pou · Democratic contract
96.9¢
▲ 5.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Nellie Pou by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.9¢ · low 89¢Oct 12
Nellie PouDemocratic · incumbent
96.9¢
Rosie PinoRepublican
3.5¢

13,999 traded · 6,119 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pou v Pino

Metric by metric
Pou
Pino
96.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.5¢
$2.66M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$415.9K
$1.79M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$39.6K
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 9th District
Prior result
D+1.6

2024 general election, won by Nellie Pou.

Fundraising
6.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.