Gary J. Palmer
AL-6What the Signal reads
Palmer is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Palmer at 97.6¢ against Mercer's 3.6¢, up 2.1¢ since August 3. Palmer leads 161.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Gary J. Palmer by name.
2,248 traded · 1,679 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Palmer v Mercer
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Alabama 6th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Gary J. Palmer.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+38.6 → R+34.6
Alabama is going back to the map its legislature passed in 2023. A court-drawn map was used in 2024; on June 2, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court paused a lower-court order blocking the 2023 map, so the state's own map is in use this cycle. It becomes somewhat less Republican, going from Trump +38.6 to Trump +34.6 in the 2024 presidential vote.