Analilia Mejia · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Mejia is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Mejia at 97.9¢ against Hathaway's 4.1¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3. Mejia leads 2.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Mejia · Democratic contract

97.9¢

▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Analilia Mejia by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 96.5¢Oct 12

Analilia MejiaDemocratic · incumbent

97.9¢

Joe HathawayRepublican

4.1¢

17,608 traded · 4,758 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mejia v Hathaway

Metric by metric

Mejia

Hathaway

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.1¢

$1.82M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$657.7K

$27.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$5.0K

U.S. Representativesince 2026

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 11th District

Prior result

D+13.0

2024 general election, won by Mikie Sherrill.

Fundraising

2.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.