Mark B. Messmer · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Messmer is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Messmer at 96.4¢ against Allen's 7.9¢, up 0.1¢ since August 3. Messmer leads 3.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Messmer · Republican contract

96.4¢

▲ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mark B. Messmer by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Mark B. MessmerRepublican · incumbent

96.4¢

Mary AllenDemocratic

7.9¢

6,694 traded · 2,553 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Messmer v Allen

Metric by metric

Messmer

Allen

96.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

7.9¢

$1.17M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$294.5K

$713.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$179.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Indiana 8th District

Prior result

R+38.5

2024 general election, won by Mark B. Messmer.

Fundraising

3.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.