Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK

John W. Mannion

Democratic · U.S. Representative, New York 22nd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D KALSHI · 93.8¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 22ND DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTKailee Marie Buller (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 93.8¢ · R 7.8¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+9.112024 general election margin — verified against official results
10:1fundraising ratio v Buller · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.69Mraised
$1.84Mcash on hand
· Buller: $267.3K / $186.6K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-23 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V BULLER ⇄