Elections Intelligence
Directory
Senate
House
Governors
Attorneys General
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK
John W. Mannion
Democratic · U.S. Representative, New York 22nd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
LIKELY D
KALSHI ·
93.8¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 22ND DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Kailee Marie Buller (R)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Likely D
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
D 93.8¢ · R 7.8¢
LATEST POLL
Not yet collected
no qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+9.11
2024 general election margin — verified against official results
10:1
fundraising ratio v Buller · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.69M
raised
$1.84M
cash on hand
MANNION FOR NEW YORK ↗
· Buller: $267.3K / $186.6K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
06-23 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V BULLER ⇄