Frank J. Mrvan · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Mrvan is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Mrvan at 98.5¢ against Regnitz's 4.3¢, up 7.4¢ since August 3. The two campaigns have raised about the same.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Mrvan · Democratic contract

98.5¢

▲ 7.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Frank J. Mrvan by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.5¢ · low 90.5¢Oct 12

Frank J. MrvanDemocratic · incumbent

98.5¢

Barb RegnitzRepublican

4.3¢

30,752 traded · 11,571 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mrvan v Regnitz

Metric by metric

Mrvan

Regnitz

98.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.3¢

$2.39M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.38M

$1.34M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.80M

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Indiana 1st District

Prior result

D+8.5

2024 general election, won by Frank J. Mrvan.

Fundraising

1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.