Lucy McBath · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McBath is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McBath at 99.1¢ against Martin's 3¢, up 6.7¢ since August 3. McBath leads 86.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

McBath · Democratic contract

99.1¢

▲ 6.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lucy McBath by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.1¢ · low 92.4¢Oct 12

Lucy McBathDemocratic · incumbent

99.1¢

Kevin E. MartinRepublican

3.0¢

9,764 traded · 4,845 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McBath v Martin

Metric by metric

McBath

Martin

99.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.0¢

$896.9K

RaisedFEC, through March 31 and June 30

$10.3K

$676.3K

Cash on handFEC, through March 31 and June 30

$100

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Georgia 6th District

Prior result

D+49.4

2024 general election, won by Lucy McBath.

Fundraising

86.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.