Daniel Meuser · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Meuser is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Meuser at 94.4¢ against Wallace's 6.1¢, up 0.2¢ since August 3. Meuser leads 2.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Meuser · Republican contract

94.4¢

▲ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Daniel Meuser by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 94.2¢Oct 12

Daniel MeuserRepublican · incumbent

94.4¢

Rachel WallaceDemocratic

6.1¢

3,401 traded · 1,501 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Meuser v Wallace

Metric by metric

Meuser

Wallace

94.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

6.1¢

$1.90M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$697.9K

$170.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$386.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 9th District

Prior result

R+41.0

2024 general election, won by Daniel Meuser.

Fundraising

2.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.