Doris O. Matsui
CA-7Every candidate on the November ballot is a Democrat, so the seat cannot change party. The FTP Race Signal reads the seat; the Kalshi figure is Matsui's own contract.
What the Signal reads
Matsui is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Matsui at 59¢ against Vang's 43¢, up 9¢ since August 3. Matsui leads 2.9 to 1 in money raised.
The market
46,198 traded · 26,488 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Matsui v Vang
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 7th DistrictData for Progress, WFP, Justice Democrats and Leaders We Deserve sponsor, August 21.
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Doris O. Matsui.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+29.7 → D+12.8
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It becomes much less Democratic, going from Harris +29.7 to Harris +12.8 in the 2024 presidential vote.