Edward J. Markey
MAWhat the Signal reads
Safe D
Markey is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Markey at 98.4¢ against Deaton's 2.5¢, up 1.1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Markey ahead by 23.3 points, and Markey leads 3.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Markey · Democratic contract
98.4¢
▲ 1.1¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Edward J. Markey by name.
37,209 traded · 34,007 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Markey v Deaton
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Massachusetts U.S. SenatePolling average
D+23.3
Average of 3 pollsters, August 12 to September 22.
Prior result
D+33.1
2020 general election, won by Edward J. Markey.
Fundraising
3.4 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 12.