Mike Levin
CA-49What the Signal reads
Levin is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Levin at 97.7¢ against Kurdian's 3.6¢, up 0.5¢ since August 3. Levin leads 53.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Mike Levin by name.
14,870 traded · 8,965 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Levin v Kurdian
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 49th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mike Levin.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+7.8 → D+12.1
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. Communities on both sides of the San Diego–Orange County line are shuffled. It becomes somewhat more Democratic, going from Harris +7.8 to Harris +12.1 in the 2024 presidential vote.