Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Mike Levin

Democratic · U.S. Representative, California 49th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D KALSHI · 96¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 49TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTArmen Kurdian (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 96¢ · R 5.3¢
LATEST POLLD+2<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://hub.nationaljournal.com/the-dncs-99-problems" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Lake Research ↗</a> (B+) 07-27 · n=500
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+4.352024 general election margin — verified against official results
54:1fundraising ratio v Kurdian · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$3.16Mraised
$1.42Mcash on hand
· Kurdian: $58.8K / $17.9K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V KURDIAN ⇄