Darin LaHood
IL-16What the Signal reads
Safe R
LaHood is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has LaHood at 95.2¢ against Nolley's 6.1¢, up 3.5¢ since August 3. LaHood leads 8.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
LaHood · Republican contract
95.2¢
▲ 3.5¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Darin LaHood by name.
32,599 traded · 7,469 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
LaHood v Nolley
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Illinois 16th DistrictPrior result
LaHood +99.8
LaHood won 99.9% to 0.1% over Scott Summers (Green) (2024).
Fundraising
8.8 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.