Ted Lieu · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Lieu is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Lieu at 99.3¢ against Brignano's 3.1¢, up 6.3¢ since August 3. Lieu leads 356.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Lieu · Democratic contract

99.3¢

▲ 6.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ted Lieu by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.3¢ · low 93¢Oct 12

Ted LieuDemocratic · incumbent

99.3¢

Houston BrignanoRepublican

3.1¢

4,883 traded · 1,526 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lieu v Brignano

Metric by metric

Lieu

Brignano

99.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.1¢

$1.83M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$5.1K

$1.19M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$801

U.S. Representativesince 2015

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 36th District

Prior result

D+37.4

2024 general election, won by Ted Lieu.

Fundraising

356.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.