Elections Intelligence

Robert E. Latta

OH-5U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Latta is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Latta at 94.8¢ against Shaver's 9¢, up 2.3¢ since August 3. Latta leads 125.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Latta · Republican contract
94.8¢
▲ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Robert E. Latta by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.7¢ · low 92.5¢Oct 12
Robert E. LattaRepublican · incumbent
94.8¢
Brian ShaverDemocratic
9.0¢

6,435 traded · 3,051 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Latta v Shaver

Metric by metric
Latta
Shaver
94.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
9.0¢
$1.46M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$11.7K
$1.02M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$8.7K
U.S. Representativesince 2007
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 5th District
Prior result
R+35.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Robert E. Latta.

Fundraising
125.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+29.3 → R+23.8

Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. It becomes somewhat less Republican, going from Trump +29.3 to Trump +23.8 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.