David Kustoff
TN-8What the Signal reads
Kustoff is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Kustoff at 96¢ against Kuhn's 4.7¢, up 8¢ since August 3. Kustoff leads 53.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on David Kustoff by name.
9,553 traded · 2,258 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Kustoff v Kuhn
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Tennessee 8th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by David Kustoff.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+41.1 → R+20.1
Tennessee redrew its congressional map in the middle of the decade through HB 7003, signed on May 7, 2026. The plan splits Shelby County, home to Memphis, among the 5th, 8th and 9th districts. It becomes much less Republican, going from Trump +41.1 to Trump +20.1 in the 2024 presidential vote.