Trent Kelly
MS-1What the Signal reads
Safe R
Kelly is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Kelly at 96.2¢ against Johnson's 6¢, unchanged since August 3. Kelly leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Kelly · Republican contract
96.2¢
Unchangedsince August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Trent Kelly by name.
17,168 traded · 2,204 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Kelly v Johnson
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Mississippi 1st DistrictPrior result
R+39.6
2024 general election, won by Trent Kelly.
Fundraising
1.8 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.