William R. Keating · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Keating is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Keating at 97.2¢ against MacAllister's 4.6¢, down 0.3¢ since August 3. Keating leads 2.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Keating · Democratic contract

97.2¢

▼ 0.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on William R. Keating by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 94.3¢Oct 12

William R. KeatingDemocratic · incumbent

97.2¢

R. Tyler MacAllisterRepublican

4.6¢

949 traded · 938 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Keating v MacAllister

Metric by metric

Keating

MacAllister

97.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.6¢

$422.5K

RaisedFEC, through August 12

$175.1K

$495.5K

Cash on handFEC, through August 12

$35.1K

U.S. Representativesince 2011

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Massachusetts 9th District

Prior result

D+13.0

2024 general election, won by William R. Keating.

Fundraising

2.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 12.