Elections Intelligence

Jonathan L. Jackson

IL-1U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely D to Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Jackson is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Jackson at 97¢ against Maxwell's 7.1¢, up 6.4¢ since August 3. Jackson leads 6.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Jackson · Democratic contract
97.0¢
▲ 6.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jonathan L. Jackson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 90.6¢Oct 12
Jonathan L. JacksonDemocratic · incumbent
97.0¢
Christian MaxwellRepublican
7.1¢

5,884 traded · 4,188 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jackson v Maxwell

Metric by metric
Jackson
Maxwell
97.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
7.1¢
$418.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$63.3K
$47.2K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$33.8K
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 1st District
Prior result
D+31.7

2024 general election, won by Jonathan L. Jackson.

Fundraising
6.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.