David P. Joyce · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Joyce is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Joyce at 96.6¢ against Jukic's 7.6¢, up 3.2¢ since August 3. Joyce leads 22.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Joyce · Republican contract

96.6¢

▲ 3.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on David P. Joyce by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 93.4¢Oct 12

David P. JoyceRepublican · incumbent

96.6¢

Maria JukicDemocratic

7.6¢

5,981 traded · 2,248 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Joyce v Jukic

Metric by metric

Joyce

Jukic

96.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

7.6¢

$1.41M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$61.7K

$3.12M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$33.7K

U.S. Representativesince 2013

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 14th District

Prior result

R+26.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by David P. Joyce.

Fundraising

22.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+17.9 → R+20.4

Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +17.9 to Trump +20.4 in the 2024 presidential vote).

The record this is read from ↗