Elections Intelligence

Pat Harrigan

NC-10U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Harrigan is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Harrigan at 96.7¢ against Bell's 6.3¢, up 5.8¢ since August 3. Harrigan leads 12.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Harrigan · Republican contract
96.7¢
▲ 5.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Pat Harrigan by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.7¢ · low 90.9¢Oct 12
Pat HarriganRepublican · incumbent
96.7¢
Ashley BellDemocratic
6.3¢

3,873 traded · 2,855 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Harrigan v Bell

Metric by metric
Harrigan
Bell
96.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
6.3¢
$1.08M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$84.0K
$451.3K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$26.2K
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 10th District
Prior result
R+19.3

2024 general election, won by Pat Harrigan.

Fundraising
12.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.