Mike Haridopolos
FL-8What the Signal reads
Haridopolos is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Haridopolos at 94.4¢ against Jenkins's 6.6¢, up 5.4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Haridopolos ahead by 9.7 points, and Haridopolos leads 2.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mike Haridopolos by name.
9,034 traded · 4,882 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Haridopolos v Jenkins
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Florida 8th DistrictAverage of 2 pollsters, July 18 to July 29.
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mike Haridopolos.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+22.3 → R+16.2
Florida redrew its congressional map in a 2026 special session. Gov. Ron DeSantis signed the new plan (HB 1-D) on May 4, 2026; it changed 21 of the state's 28 districts. It becomes somewhat less Republican, going from Trump +22.3 to Trump +16.2 in the 2024 presidential vote.