Diana Harshbarger · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Harshbarger is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Harshbarger at 99.6¢ against Burke's 2¢, up 3.1¢ since August 3. Harshbarger leads 12.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Harshbarger · Republican contract

99.6¢

▲ 3.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Diana Harshbarger by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.6¢ · low 96.5¢Oct 12

Diana HarshbargerRepublican · incumbent

99.6¢

Kristi BurkeDemocratic

2.0¢

1,343 traded · 1,242 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Harshbarger v Burke

Metric by metric

Harshbarger

Burke

99.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.0¢

$1.27M

RaisedFEC, through July 17

$102.0K

$1.99M

Cash on handFEC, through July 17

$14.1K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Tennessee 1st District

Prior result

R+58.7

2024 general election, won by Diana Harshbarger.

Fundraising

12.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.