Bill Hagerty
TNWhat the Signal reads
Likely R
Hagerty is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Hagerty at 92.7¢ against Bradshaw's 7.4¢, down 3.5¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hagerty ahead by 20 points, and Hagerty leads 3173.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Hagerty · Republican contract
92.7¢
▼ 3.5¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Bill Hagerty by name.
368,655 traded · 322,326 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Hagerty v Bradshaw
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Tennessee U.S. SenateLatest poll
R+20
Targoz, August 26.
Prior result
R+27.0
2020 general election, won by Bill Hagerty.
Fundraising
3173.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.