Adam Gray
CA-13What the Signal reads
Gray is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Gray at 96.5¢ against Lincoln's 4.7¢, up 4.4¢ since July 31. Gray leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Adam Gray by name.
30,413 traded · 11,655 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Gray v Lincoln
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 13th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Adam Gray.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+5.4 → D+0.4
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It keeps its Central Valley base and adds Stockton voters. The new lines flip the district, going from Trump +5.4 to Harris +0.4 in the 2024 presidential vote.