Josh Gottheimer · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Gottheimer is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Gottheimer at 98.3¢ against Kirrane's 1.6¢, up 6.3¢ since August 3. Gottheimer leads 85.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Gottheimer · Democratic contract

98.3¢

▲ 6.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Josh Gottheimer by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 92¢Oct 12

Josh GottheimerDemocratic · incumbent

98.3¢

Sean KirraneRepublican

1.6¢

7,085 traded · 5,495 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gottheimer v Kirrane

Metric by metric

Gottheimer

Kirrane

98.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.6¢

$4.77M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$55.7K

$12.77M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$8.0K

U.S. Representativesince 2017

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 5th District

Prior result

D+9.3

2024 general election, won by Josh Gottheimer.

Fundraising

85.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.