H. Morgan Griffith · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Griffith is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Griffith at 98.1¢ against Powers's 3.6¢, up 1.3¢ since August 3. Griffith leads 21.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Griffith · Republican contract

98.1¢

▲ 1.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on H. Morgan Griffith by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 95.3¢Oct 12

H. Morgan GriffithRepublican · incumbent

98.1¢

Joy A. PowersDemocratic

3.6¢

8,498 traded · 2,735 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Griffith v Powers

Metric by metric

Griffith

Powers

98.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.6¢

$1.83M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$85.3K

$973.9K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$13.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2011

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Virginia 9th District

Prior result

R+45.2

2024 general election, won by H. Morgan Griffith.

Fundraising

21.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.